A COLLECTIVE SURPRISE: PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN AGUASCALIENTES 2018. VARIATION OF HEGEMONY

Many analysts and political experts predicted the triumph of Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) in the 2018 presidential election. Few calculated a triumph of the magnitude achieved; very few thought that the national inertia in favor of AMLO would be replicated in Aguascalientes. To the surprise of the hegemonic parties until then, the media, the business class, the institutional church and the academic community, López Obrador won with clarity and broke with the most optimistic forecasts of his own militants and, not to mention, of his adversaries. This book tries to answer why he won, and what factors and groups gave him the triumph. The explanation is centered, of course, in the charisma of the winning candidate, in the fear of change that turned into citizen anger, but also in the internal divisions of the traditionally winning parties, and in the wear and tear acquired by the governmental exercise. A surprise that coincided with a pessimistic view of politics and politicians in many parts of the world.